Hurrikánok és tájfunok
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Ejha, jól kikerekedett a szeme. Vagy 10x-ese lett mint ami eddig volt...
Végzett az EWRC-vel. Pinhole eye ment, a büdös nagy fánk-szerű CMG jött. A Dvorak-becslés egyből be is szaladt 900 hPa alá, 156 csomós szél mellett
Aztak*rva! Mi az a sok rózsaszín?! -90-es felhőtető?! (szer.: ja, csak -82 körül)
Lehet, hogy történelmet ír ez a búgócsiga?
Lehet, hogy történelmet ír ez a búgócsiga?
Mit látni előre a hétvégével kapcsolatban?
Elkaphatja valóban Japánt?Történetesen mondjuk Suzuka környékét is akár?
Elkaphatja valóban Japánt?Történetesen mondjuk Suzuka környékét is akár?
Lyéjzuss Máriám!
TY 1919 (Hagibis)
Issued at 09:45 UTC, 7 October 2019
Scale Large
Intensity Violent
Center position N15°55' (15.9°)
E147°20' (147.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30 km/h (15 kt)
Central pressure 915 hPa
15 óra alatt -60 hPa
Beteg!
TY 1919 (Hagibis)
Issued at 09:45 UTC, 7 October 2019
Scale Large
Intensity Violent
Center position N15°55' (15.9°)
E147°20' (147.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30 km/h (15 kt)
Central pressure 915 hPa
15 óra alatt -60 hPa
Beteg!
RoHadtul gyorsan erősödik. Éjfélre már 5-ös erősségű lehet.
"It continued rapid strengthening, with JTWC 00h UTC warning forecasting 222 km/h peak winds by 12h UTC, Oct 7th and 250 km/h sustained peak winds, gusting to 306 km/h by 00h UTC on October 8th." JTWC
"It continued rapid strengthening, with JTWC 00h UTC warning forecasting 222 km/h peak winds by 12h UTC, Oct 7th and 250 km/h sustained peak winds, gusting to 306 km/h by 00h UTC on October 8th." JTWC
Csinoska a feeder band-je is a nyugati oldalán. Ha ebből nem lesz 5-ös, akkor semmiből.
Ez dúúrva:
TROPICAL STORM 20W 6:00UTC 06October2019
UW-CIMSS Experimental Vertical Shear and TC Intensity Trend Estimates
Current Conditions (from JTWC) :
Latitude: 15:08:02 N
Longitude: 153:54:31 E
Intensity (MSLP): 991.0 hPa
Max Pot Int (MPI,from Emanuel) : 858.0 hPa
MPI differential (MSLP-MPI) : 133.0 hPa
CIMSS Vertical Shear Magnitude : 2.8 m/s ( 5.4 kts)
Direction : 53.0 deg
Outlook for TC Intensification Based on Current Env. Shear Values and MPI Differential Forecast Interval :
6hr 12hr 18hr 24hr
VF VF VF VF
(VF-very favourable)
Csoda-é, hogy már tájfun is lett?!
TROPICAL STORM 20W 6:00UTC 06October2019
UW-CIMSS Experimental Vertical Shear and TC Intensity Trend Estimates
Current Conditions (from JTWC) :
Latitude: 15:08:02 N
Longitude: 153:54:31 E
Intensity (MSLP): 991.0 hPa
Max Pot Int (MPI,from Emanuel) : 858.0 hPa
MPI differential (MSLP-MPI) : 133.0 hPa
CIMSS Vertical Shear Magnitude : 2.8 m/s ( 5.4 kts)
Direction : 53.0 deg
Outlook for TC Intensification Based on Current Env. Shear Values and MPI Differential Forecast Interval :
6hr 12hr 18hr 24hr
VF VF VF VF
(VF-very favourable)
Csoda-é, hogy már tájfun is lett?!
WTPN21 PGTW 050230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 93W)//
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.3N 163.6E TO 17.0N 155.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS
...
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W
WILL CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. THERE IS HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM.
Hát itt gyorsan eszkalálódni fog a helyzet
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 93W)//
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.3N 163.6E TO 17.0N 155.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS
...
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W
WILL CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. THERE IS HIGH
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM.
Hát itt gyorsan eszkalálódni fog a helyzet